‘Virality is not a strategy’: New research challenges social-first thinking

Brands are at risk of sacrificing long-term growth by becoming trapped in a “social sprint” as marketing budgets continue to shift towards social media and creator content, according to new research from WARC.

The marketing research company has published The Pace Principle 2.0 – From social sprint to sustained growth, which argues that while social and creator marketing can deliver fast results and cultural relevance, they cannot, on their own, drive sustainable brand growth.

Drawing on analysis of 210 advertising case studies from Southeast Asia, Greater China and India, WARC says the findings have implications for marketers globally as investment in social and creator marketing continues to accelerate.

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The report identifies two distinct creative strategies that brands need to balance.

According to the research, targeted social campaigns are 2.4 times more effective than targeted emotional campaigns, making them well suited to driving participation, sharing and interaction among specific audiences.

However, WARC found that broad emotional campaigns outperform broad social campaigns by 2.1 times when it comes to overall brand and business impact. It says emotional campaigns deliver more than double the short-term effects and almost four times the long-term impact.

The report also found that aligning creative strategy with the intended audience can improve campaign effectiveness by up to 70%.

Rica Facundo, Managing Editor, WARC APAC, said: “Since publishing the Pace Principle last year, what has become clear is that with investment pouring into social and creator marketing, marketers risk getting trapped into a social sprint loop whereby brands are producing more content for virality, optimising for the algorithm rather than enduring memory and customer resonance. Virality is not a strategy, it’s an unpredictable outcome for growth.

“The loop challenge doesn’t require a new playbook but reinterpreting proven principles through a new media ecosystem. If there’s one idea to take from this report, it’s understanding the three ceilings of social. That’s what separates a social sprint from sustained growth.”

Rather than treating social as simply another media channel, WARC argues marketers should view it as a creative strategy designed to encourage people to talk about, share and interact with brands.

The report warns that brands face three structural “ceilings” that can limit growth.

The first is the platform ceiling, where reach is constrained by algorithms and content quickly loses momentum once paid promotion ends. The second is the cultural ceiling, where campaigns built around short-lived trends struggle to maintain relevance. The third is the self-sustaining ceiling, where brands only achieve lasting growth when creators continue promoting ideas without prompting from the brand itself.

WARC argues that overcoming these limitations requires campaigns to extend beyond individual social platforms and be reinforced through wider marketing activity, including PR, search and broader cultural conversation.

The research builds on WARC’s original Pace Principle study, published last year, which concluded that the most effective brands combine performance marketing with longer-term brand building.

The Pace Principle 2.0 – From social sprint to sustained growth is based on analysis of 210 advertising effectiveness case studies from Southeast Asia, Greater China and India, alongside questionnaires completed by the authors of those case studies.

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